Speculation on Early General Elections in India
Given the current situation and a series of corruption allegations against the current Government of India, political pundits are loudly speculating about early general elections in India. The hard truth is that none of the national political parties is ready for an early election. At this point in time, I believe that the next general elections will be held only in 2014, any time between the months of March to May. So, who do you think will be the next Prime Minister of India? The common voice suggests the next general elections will be a direct fight between Rahul Gandhi and Narendra Modi; however, I do not agree with this speculation.
Four Possibilities for the Next Prime Minister
There are FOUR possibilities:
1. If the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) comes back into power and Congress either keeps the same count of seats or wins less than 200 seats and yet comes out as the single largest party.
In this scenario, it may be possible that the current Prime Minister, Manmohan Singh, will continue his role. If he excuses himself from shouldering the responsibilities on health grounds, then the party president, Ms. Sonia Gandhi, may pick any of her lieutenants other than her own son, Rahul Gandhi.
2. If Congress wins more than 250 seats on its own and UPA comes back into power.
In such a case, if Manmohan Singh steps aside, Rahul Gandhi may get elected as a unanimous choice of the party for the post. Ms. Priyanka Gandhi should be considered a dark horse in the race, and at the same time, Ms. Sonia Gandhi can never become the PM of India.
3. If the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) comes into power and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) manages to become the single largest party.
BJP is one political party that has many incumbents aspiring to become the Prime Minister. Some of the aspirants are:
a. Lal Krishna Advani, the senior-most member of the party, and former Deputy PM in the previous regime of NDA.
b. Arun Jaitley, Leader of Opposition in the Upper House.
c. Sushma Swaraj, Leader of Opposition in the Lower House.
d. Nitin Gadkari, Party President, BJP.
e. Narendra Modi, Chief Minister of Gujarat, the most successful CM in BJP-ruled states.
Despite huge backing from the general public and party workers, Narendra Modi does not seem to have sufficient support from other partners of NDA. If he is pitched in as the Prime Ministerial candidate, many anti-Modi partners of NDA will move out of the alliance, thereby keeping the political stage very wide and open.
From India, Mumbai
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100Given the current situation and a series of corruption allegations against the current Government of India, political pundits are loudly speculating about early general elections in India. The hard truth is that none of the national political parties is ready for an early election. At this point in time, I believe that the next general elections will be held only in 2014, any time between the months of March to May. So, who do you think will be the next Prime Minister of India? The common voice suggests the next general elections will be a direct fight between Rahul Gandhi and Narendra Modi; however, I do not agree with this speculation.
Four Possibilities for the Next Prime Minister
There are FOUR possibilities:
1. If the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) comes back into power and Congress either keeps the same count of seats or wins less than 200 seats and yet comes out as the single largest party.
In this scenario, it may be possible that the current Prime Minister, Manmohan Singh, will continue his role. If he excuses himself from shouldering the responsibilities on health grounds, then the party president, Ms. Sonia Gandhi, may pick any of her lieutenants other than her own son, Rahul Gandhi.
2. If Congress wins more than 250 seats on its own and UPA comes back into power.
In such a case, if Manmohan Singh steps aside, Rahul Gandhi may get elected as a unanimous choice of the party for the post. Ms. Priyanka Gandhi should be considered a dark horse in the race, and at the same time, Ms. Sonia Gandhi can never become the PM of India.
3. If the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) comes into power and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) manages to become the single largest party.
BJP is one political party that has many incumbents aspiring to become the Prime Minister. Some of the aspirants are:
a. Lal Krishna Advani, the senior-most member of the party, and former Deputy PM in the previous regime of NDA.
b. Arun Jaitley, Leader of Opposition in the Upper House.
c. Sushma Swaraj, Leader of Opposition in the Lower House.
d. Nitin Gadkari, Party President, BJP.
e. Narendra Modi, Chief Minister of Gujarat, the most successful CM in BJP-ruled states.
Despite huge backing from the general public and party workers, Narendra Modi does not seem to have sufficient support from other partners of NDA. If he is pitched in as the Prime Ministerial candidate, many anti-Modi partners of NDA will move out of the alliance, thereby keeping the political stage very wide and open.
From India, Mumbai
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