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The Union Budget of India, or the Annual Financial Statement in Article 112 of the Constitution of India, is the annual budget of the Republic of India. It is presented each year on the last working day of February by the Finance Minister of India in Parliament. The budget has to be passed by the House before it can come into effect on April 1, the start of India's financial year.

In the Union Budget, the Finance Ministry discusses core financial issues like taxation, expenditure, fiscal deficit, subsidies, etc., given to different sectors, which affect the macroeconomics of the country. The Government also declares important policy initiatives and outlines plans for economic policy in the coming months.

Stock Market tends to be greatly influenced by the budget. The stock market response reflects the quality of the budget. If the government gives subsidies or tax rebates or if there are some policy changes, then the respective sectors get influenced positively or negatively, which affects the overall stock market.

The BSE Sensex is a value-weighted index composed of 30 stocks and was started on January 1, 1986. The Sensex is regarded as the pulse of the domestic stock markets in India. It consists of the 30 largest and most actively traded stocks, representative of various sectors, on the Bombay Stock Exchange. These companies account for around fifty percent of the market capitalization of the BSE.

The Union budget creates enormous market volatility and turnover in the stock market prior to the budget as different expectations prevail with respect to tax impacts on individuals, companies, and the overall economy. After the budget announcement, volatility continues as Market movers such as FIIS, DIIS, Mutual Funds, HNIs, Retail Investors, adjust their portfolios as per the budget impacts. Empirical research can guide hedging and trading around the Budget date to a certain extent. This research has become even more important, pertaining to the fact that stock index derivatives are now traded in India.

The objective of the project is to help economic agents speculate on the movement of the stock index, predict index volatility, and hedge themselves against fluctuations of the index. The objective is to gather empirical evidence to shed some light on questions directly related to trading and portfolio formation on Indian Stock Exchanges.

From India, Hyderabad
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When collecting data and analyzing the impact of the Union Budget on the stock market in Hyderabad, India, it is crucial to follow a structured approach:

1. Data Collection:
- Gather historical stock market data pre and post the Union Budget announcements.
- Collect information on stock prices, trading volumes, and sector-wise performance.
- Obtain data on investor sentiments, market expectations, and reactions to budget announcements.
- Utilize financial news sources, market reports, and official budget documents for comprehensive data collection.

2. Data Analysis:
- Conduct statistical analysis to identify trends and patterns in stock market movements.
- Use regression analysis to understand the relationship between budget announcements and stock market performance.
- Employ data visualization techniques to present findings effectively.
- Consider sentiment analysis of news articles and social media to gauge market sentiment.
- Collaborate with financial analysts and economists to interpret data accurately.

3. Empirical Research:
- Explore academic studies and research papers on the impact of budget announcements on stock markets.
- Analyze case studies of previous budget cycles to draw insights for the current scenario.
- Engage with industry experts and financial advisors for practical guidance on data interpretation.
- Leverage stock market indices and sectoral performance data for comparative analysis.

4. Risk Management:
- Develop risk mitigation strategies based on data analysis to hedge against market volatility.
- Implement portfolio diversification techniques to safeguard investments.
- Monitor market trends closely post-budget to make informed investment decisions.
- Stay updated on regulatory changes and policy reforms affecting the stock market.

By following a systematic approach to data collection and analysis, stakeholders can make informed decisions regarding stock market speculation, volatility prediction, and portfolio management in response to the Union Budget announcements.

From India, Gurugram
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